Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.426391 0.484244 0.549135 0.627712 0.720812 0.828251 0.962562
2024-10-13 0.338719 0.414332 0.507542 0.632550 0.798375 1.014520 1.323889
2024-10-20 0.281491 0.362153 0.468294 0.621440 0.842361 1.158739 1.664091
2024-10-27 0.243923 0.326199 0.440091 0.614276 0.883413 1.300787 2.035080
2024-11-03 0.225963 0.312999 0.439220 0.643114 0.979695 1.544532 2.642117
2024-11-10 0.207487 0.295817 0.428953 0.654184 1.047846 1.756417 3.265197
2024-11-17 0.188146 0.274567 0.408982 0.645238 1.078559 1.907187 3.821724
2024-11-24 0.170631 0.253968 0.387104 0.628972 1.091771 2.026146 4.354144
2024-12-01 0.158937 0.241259 0.376352 0.630150 1.137454 2.221914 5.154007
2024-12-08 0.151584 0.234764 0.375085 0.648080 1.219570 2.519129 6.368708
2024-12-15 0.142954 0.225195 0.367237 0.652039 1.272903 2.765060 7.574680
2024-12-22 0.132811 0.212070 0.351565 0.638165 1.284052 2.909736 8.544248
2024-12-29 0.127632 0.207351 0.351081 0.655861 1.373342 3.294435 10.655520
2025-01-05 0.121172 0.199783 0.344490 0.659884 1.431484 3.615900 12.808220
2025-01-12 0.113534 0.189416 0.331449 0.647994 1.447298 3.818239 14.637407
2025-01-19 0.107121 0.180798 0.320988 0.640416 1.473025 4.063258 16.935159
2025-01-26 0.105126 0.180311 0.326690 0.670795 1.609414 4.739909 22.448316
2025-02-02 0.101440 0.176254 0.324637 0.682463 1.695967 5.281804 28.035909
2025-02-09 0.096172 0.168704 0.314553 0.673033 1.717730 5.585990 32.495947
2025-02-16 0.090685 0.160346 0.302034 0.655892 1.712277 5.779721 36.477779
2025-02-23 0.087126 0.155605 0.296923 0.657133 1.766432 6.262106 44.158845
2025-03-02 0.085168 0.153959 0.298445 0.676028 1.884457 7.109514 58.096440
2025-03-09 0.082243 0.150115 0.294691 0.680201 1.953455 7.764835 72.243119